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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Arsenal logo

Watford
2 - 3
Arsenal

FT(HT: 1-2)
Odegaard (5'), Saka (30'), Martinelli (52')
Soares (58'), Nketiah (90+3')

The Match

Team News

Emile Smith Rowe is absent from the Arsenal squad for Sunday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Watford and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Watford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-5 Leicester
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Chelsea vs. Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
Monday, May 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Arsenal vs. Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 0-2 Arsenal

Watford's distinct lack of a clinical finisher should be exposed by a staunch Arsenal defence on Sunday, although Hodgson's side will be aware that the Gunners are still prone to the odd mistake. However, the Hornets have posted defeat after defeat at home recently and are facing an Arsenal side almost at the peak of their powers, so we can only envisage the visitors inching closer to the Champions League with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawArsenal
17.04%21.8%61.17%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92%47.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68%69.32%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41%77.59%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1%14.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74%43.26%
Score Analysis
    Watford 17.04%
    Arsenal 61.16%
    Draw 21.79%
WatfordDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.45%
2-1 @ 4.62%
2-0 @ 2.43%
3-1 @ 1.37%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.04%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 11.64%
0-2 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 7.03%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-4 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.28%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.16%

How you voted: Watford vs Arsenal

Watford
15.6%
Draw
6.3%
Arsenal
78.0%
205
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Arsenal
1-0
Watford
Smith Rowe (56')
Sambi Lokonga (20'), Tomiyasu (30'), Aubameyang (52'), Magalhaes (80')

King (10'), Kucka (31'), Sissoko (54')
Kucka (89')
Jul 28, 2021 3pm
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Arsenal
3-2
Watford
Aubameyang (5' pen., 33'), Tierney (24')
Xhaka (45'), Holding (72'), Martinez (74')
Deeney (43' pen.)
Pereyra (35'), Hughes (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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