Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline was Arsenal 2-0 Burnley with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.72%), 1-1 (9.21%). The actual score line of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4%.