Chelsea vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.