Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.