FA Cup

FA Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 19, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Chelsea

Howson (87'), Peltier (89')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lukaku (15'), Ziyech (31')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel on the touchline against Middlesbrough on March 19, 2022.

Thomas Tuchel heaps praise on mentality of Chelsea squad amid uncertainty

Head coach Thomas Tuchel heaps praise on the mentality of his Chelsea squad as they end a busy sequence of games with a 2-0 victory over Middlesbrough in the FA Cup.

Mar 19, 20:13

Romelu Lukaku celebrating scoring for Chelsea against Middlesbrough in the FA Cup on March 19, 2022.

Romelu Lukaku on scoresheet as Chelsea beat Middlesbrough in FA Cup quarters

Chelsea progress through to the semi-finals of the FA Cup with a 2-0 victory against Middlesbrough at the Riverside Stadium.

Mar 19, 19:10

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Chelsea
19.67%	24.8%	55.53%

Both teams to score 45.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.28%

42.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.95%

79.05%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18%

19.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.1%

51.9%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 19.67%

Chelsea 55.51%

Draw 24.8%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 4.96% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.67%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 13.7% 0-2 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 5.09% 0-4 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.59% Total : 55.51%