FA Cup
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Jonny Howson 87' yellowcard
  • Lee Peltier 89' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 15'
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 31'

Middlesbrough vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result

Middlesbrough 19.67%
Draw 24.8%
Chelsea 55.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.93%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.82%
Under 2.5 55.18%
Over 3.5 23.58%
Under 3.5 76.42%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 57.28%
Under 0.5 42.72%
Over 1.5 20.95%
Under 1.5 79.05%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 80.18%
Under 0.5 19.82%
Over 1.5 48.1%
Under 1.5 51.9%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 19.67%
Draw 24.8%
Chelsea 55.51%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-1 @ 4.96%
2-0 @ 3.06%
3-1 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.8%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 13.7%
0-2 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-3 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 5.09%
0-4 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.51%

Head to Head

Premier League
May 8, 2017 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Diego Costa 23' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 34' goal
  • Nemanja Matic 65' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 89'
Premier League
Nov 20, 2016 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Clayton 8' yellowcard
  • Calum Chambers 74' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Costa 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 51'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 64'
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 73'
FA Cup
Feb 27, 2013 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Ramires 0'
  • goal Victor Moses 0'
Premier League
Jan 28, 2009 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Salomon Kalou 58' goal
  • Salomon Kalou 81' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Shawky 9'
  • yellowcard Chris Riggott 56'
Premier League
Oct 18, 2008 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gary O'Neil 25' yellowcard
  • Afonso Alves 77' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Kalou 14'
  • goal Juliano Belletti 51'
  • goal David Wheater 53' (OG)
  • goal Frank Lampard 63'
  • goal Florent Malouda 67'
Premier League
Mar 30, 2008 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ricardo Carvalho 6' goal
  • Juliano Belletti 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Cattermole 46'

Build-up

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