We said: Middlesbrough 0-2 Chelsea
Middlesbrough will see no reason why they cannot add Chelsea to their list of FA Cup scalps, but a fatigued Blues side still possess the necessary defensive nous to shut out an inexperienced Boro attack.
Tuchel's side have been far from spectacular against lower-league opposition in this season's tournament, but a refreshed set of options up front will feel confident of breaking the Boro resilience as the hosts' FA Cup journey ends in front of their own fans.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
