Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St Andrew's

Birmingham
0 - 2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

Last Six:

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Hull City	46	-13	51
20	Birmingham City	46	-25	47
21	Reading	46	-33	41

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Middlesbrough
26.06%	26.12%	47.82%

Both teams to score 49.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67%

54.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29%

75.71%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96%

36.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18%

72.82%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6%

56.4%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 26.06%

Middlesbrough 47.81%

Draw 26.12%

Birmingham City	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.59% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.92% Total : 26.06%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 12.13% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.81%