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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Luton Town

Birmingham
3 - 0
Luton

Bacuna (25'), Taylor (46'), Hernandez (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Osho (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham are likely to get on the scoresheet on Saturday, as they have done so in all of their matches in recent weeks, but Luton's momentum could be the difference between the sides this weekend. Jones's side's good form will stand them in good stead to collect three points this weekend, and the visitors will feel they must beat teams in the lower half of the table if they are serious contenders for a top-six spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.84%27.69%44.46%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99%59.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52%79.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.84%
    Luton Town 44.46%
    Draw 27.68%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
19.7%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
55.3%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Birmingham
0-1
Luton

San Jose (58'), Harper (62')
Potts (31')
Potts (50')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Luton
Pedersen (45'), Jutkiewicz (82')
Roberts (11')
Cornick (67')
LuaLua (45'), Collins (70'), Cranie (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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