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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 27.84% | 27.69% | 44.46% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.99% | 59.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.52% | 79.48% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% | 61.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.77% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 13.04% 0-2 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 44.46% |