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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
| 55.22% | 23.26% | 21.52% |
| Both teams to score 53.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% | 46.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% | 69.16% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% | 16.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.15% | 46.85% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% | 36.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% | 72.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.93% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.11% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.52% |