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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 38.81% | 28.14% | 33.06% |
| Both teams to score 47.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.02% | 58.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.55% | 79.45% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% | 29.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% | 65.53% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% | 69.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.58% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.05% |