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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 33.26% | 28.57% | 38.15% |
| Both teams to score 45.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.49% | 60.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.38% | 80.62% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% | 33.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% | 70.49% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% | 66.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.15% |