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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 29.77% | 28.31% | 41.92% |
| Both teams to score 45.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% | 80.53% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% | 36.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% | 73.11% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.76% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 12.98% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.91% |