Championship

Championship | Gameweek 15

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

bet365 Stadium

Stoke
3 - 3
Cardiff

Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
41.9%	28.15%	29.95%

Both teams to score 46.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21%

59.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92%

80.08%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85%

28.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16%

63.84%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.89%

Cardiff City 29.95%

Draw 28.14%

Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.89%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.95%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City

83.3%

Draw

10.4%

Cardiff City

6.3%