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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 38.6% | 27.47% | 33.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% | 77.41% |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% | 28.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% | 31.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% | 67.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.92% |