Championship Gameweek 8
Derby
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Stoke
  • Graeme Shinnie 8' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 31' goal
  • Curtis Davies 34' goal
  • Louie Sibley 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romaine Sawyers 33'
  • goal Tom Ince 58'
  • yellowcard Leo Skiri Oestigaard 77'
  • yellowcard Tom Ince 89'

Derby County vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2021 8.00pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke 1 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jacob Brown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 33.82%
Draw 28.35%
Stoke City 37.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.35%
Under 2.5 59.65%
Over 3.5 20.03%
Under 3.5 79.97%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 66.99%
Under 0.5 33%
Over 1.5 30.41%
Under 1.5 69.59%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 69.56%
Under 0.5 30.44%
Over 1.5 33.36%
Under 1.5 66.64%

Score analysis

Derby County 33.82%
Draw 28.34%
Stoke City 37.81%
Derby County
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.34%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 11.94%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 37.81%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Stoke
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Derby
  • Tommy Smith 21' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 74' goal
  • yellowcard Cameron Cresswell 88'
Championship Gameweek 18
Derby
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Stoke
  • Lee Buchanan 48' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 76' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Cousins 71'
Championship Gameweek 30
Derby
Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Stoke
  • Martyn Waghorn 21' goal
  • Chris Martin 24' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 39' yellowcard
  • Wayne Rooney 67' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 74' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 34'
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 43'
Championship Gameweek 3
Stoke
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Derby
  • Ryan Woods 24' yellowcard
  • Liam Lindsay 32' goal
  • Liam Lindsay 43' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 55' goal
  • Tommy Smith 67' yellowcard
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 2'
  • yellowcard Scott Malone 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 67'
  • yellowcard Florian Jozefzoon 68'
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 70'
Championship Gameweek 37
Derby
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Stoke
  • yellowcard Ashley Williams 70'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shawcross 89'
Championship Gameweek 19
Stoke
Nov 28, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
Derby
  • Sam Clucas 24' goal
  • Peter Etebo 32' redcard
  • Joe Allen 34' yellowcard
  • Tom Ince 64' goal
  • Ryan Woods 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 21'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 34'
  • goal Harry Wilson 49'
  • yellowcard Jack Marriott 74'

Form Data

West Brom 0 - 0 Derby
Birmingham 2 - 0 Derby
Derby 1 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Sheff Utd 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Hull City 0 - 1 Derby
Stoke 1 - 1 Barnsley
Stoke 2 - 1 Huddersfield
Fulham 3 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 2 - 0 Doncaster
Stoke 1 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Swansea 1 - 3 Stoke