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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Stoke logo

Derby
2 - 1
Stoke

Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')

The Match

Match Report

The 21-year-old was on target as the crisis club were 2-1 home winners over Stoke.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
33.82%28.35%37.82%
Both teams to score 46.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99%33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41%69.59%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56%30.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36%66.64%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.82%
    Stoke City 37.81%
    Draw 28.34%
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.82%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 11.94%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.81%

How you voted: Derby vs Stoke

Derby County
20.0%
Draw
21.1%
Stoke City
58.9%
90