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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 46.57% | 28.54% | 24.89% |
| Both teams to score 42.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.67% | 63.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.29% | 82.7% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% | 27.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.88% | 42.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.46% | 78.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.37% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.7% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.13% Total : 24.89% |