Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK

bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Tymon (66')
Clucas (85'), Souttar (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Figueiredo (28'), Samba (62')

Reaction

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in December 2020

Michael O'Neill insists patience is a virtue as Stoke see off Nottingham Forest

Josh Tymon scored the only goal of the game.

Aug 21, 17:04

The Match

Match Report

Forest's horrendous season continues as they remain without a point after four games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
41.44%	29.41%	29.14%

Both teams to score 42.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.83%

64.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.69%

83.3%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44%

30.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21%

66.78%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.08%

38.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36%

75.64%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.44%

Nottingham Forest 29.14%

Draw 29.4%

Stoke City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 14.09% 2-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 7.89% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.31% Total : 41.44%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.4%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Nott'm Forest

Stoke City

90.5%

Draw

4.8%

Nottingham Forest