Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Stoke

Grabban (50')
Ribeiro (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Matondo (27')
Smith (33')

Reaction

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured on January 23, 2021

Chris Hughton has "mixed feelings" as Forest secure Championship safety

Chris Hughton saw Forest's second-tier status confirmed with two games to play following a 1-1 draw with Stoke.

Apr 24, 17:34

The Match

Match Report

Rabbi Matondo had put Michael O'Neill's side in front in the first half with a close-range finish.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Stoke City
36.2%	29.26%	34.54%

Both teams to score 44.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.27%

62.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.73%

82.27%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97%

33.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38%

69.62%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88%

34.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19%

70.81%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 36.19%

Stoke City 34.54%

Draw 29.26%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.19%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Stoke

Nottingham Forest

58.2%

Draw

27.3%

Stoke City

14.5%