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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
36.37% | 30.6% | 33.02% |
Both teams to score 40.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.72% | 85.27% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% | 35.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% | 71.95% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% | 37.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% | 74.31% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.2% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.59% | 0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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