Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 2
Millwall

Brown (41')
Batth (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')

Reaction

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021

Gary Rowett talks up Millwall's second-half performance in Stoke win

Gary Rowett delighted as Millwall see off his former club Stoke.

Apr 5, 18:00

The Match

Match Report

Mason Bennett secures Millwall's win at Stoke.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Millwall
36.37%	30.6%	33.02%

Both teams to score 40.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.99%

67.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.72%

85.27%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8%

35.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05%

71.95%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46%

37.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68%

74.31%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 36.37%

Millwall 33.02%

Draw 30.59%

Stoke City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.37%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.2% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.59%	0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City

58.7%

Draw

23.9%

Millwall

17.4%