Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Mar 3, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 2
Swansea

Powell (6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')

Reaction

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill pictured in October 2020

Michael O'Neill fumes at late Swansea City penalty

The Potters were beaten 2-1 at home.

Mar 3, 23:21

The Match

Match Report

The visitors won 2-1 courtesy of a penalty in the 94th minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
32.75%	29.26%	37.99%

Both teams to score 43.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.11%

62.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.61%

82.39%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53%

35.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77%

72.23%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57%

68.43%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 32.74%

Swansea City 37.99%

Draw 29.26%

Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.08% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 12.93% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.99%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City

30.6%

Draw

22.2%

Swansea City

47.2%