The Match
Match Report
Shaun Hutchinson punished poor defending to head in on the stroke of half-time.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Millwall |
| 31.88% | 30.01% | 38.11% |
| Both teams to score 41.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
