Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')

Reaction

Derby County's manager Wayne Rooney before the match on March 6, 2021

Wayne Rooney urges Derby attackers to "put their body on the line"

Derby had 70 per cent possession but created few chances.

Mar 13, 18:44

The Match

Match Report

Shaun Hutchinson punished poor defending to head in on the stroke of half-time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Millwall
31.88%	30.01%	38.11%

Both teams to score 41.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.62%

65.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.84%

84.15%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53%

37.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75%

74.25%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8%

33.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2%

69.8%

Score Analysis

Derby County 31.87%

Millwall 38.1%

Draw 30%

Derby County	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.75% Total : 31.87%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.43% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30%	0-1 @ 13.71% 0-2 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.1%

How you voted: Derby vs Millwall

Derby County

50.0%

Draw

40.9%

Millwall

9.1%