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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Stoke City |
| 45.62% | 26.18% | 28.19% |
| Both teams to score 50.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% | 53.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% | 74.81% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% | 23.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% | 57.22% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.26% | 33.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% | 70.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.2% |