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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Stoke City |
| 48.44% | 27.71% | 23.85% |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.66% | 61.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.75% | 81.25% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% | 60.36% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.05% | 41.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.61% | 78.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.05% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.85% |