Derby County vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.