Championship Gameweek 45
Swansea
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Liberty Stadium
Derby
  • Morgan Whittaker 62' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 63' goal
  • Connor Roberts 66' goal
  • Jamal Lowe 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 26'
  • goal Tom Lawrence 48'

Swansea City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2021 12.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Andre Ayew

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Colin Kazim-Richards

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result

Swansea City 43.03%
Draw 27.53%
Derby County 29.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.22%
Under 2.5 57.77%
Over 3.5 21.49%
Under 3.5 78.51%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 73.41%
Under 0.5 26.59%
Over 1.5 38.19%
Under 1.5 61.81%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 64.82%
Under 0.5 35.18%
Over 1.5 28.07%
Under 1.5 71.93%

Score analysis

Swansea City 43.03%
Draw 27.53%
Derby County 29.43%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 43.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.53%
Derby County
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 19
Derby
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Swansea
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 4' goal
  • Kamil Jozwiak 37' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Ayew 67'
Championship Gameweek 31
Swansea
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Liberty Stadium
Derby
  • Yan Dhanda 56' goal
  • Kyle Naughton 58' goal
  • Joe Rodon 90' yellowcard
  • goal Martyn Waghorn 8'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 38'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 53'
  • yellowcard Ben Hamer 58'
  • goal Duane Holmes 64'
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 70'
  • goal Tom Lawrence 80'
Championship Gameweek 2
Derby
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Swansea
  • Richard Keogh 3' yellowcard
  • Tom Lawrence 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Grimes 63'
Championship Gameweek 38
Swansea
May 1, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Liberty Stadium (Swansea)
Derby
  • Matt Grimes 16' yellowcard
  • Mike van der Hoorn 49' yellowcard
  • Oli McBurnie 49' yellowcard
  • Wayne Routledge 66' goal
  • goal Richard Keogh 21'
  • yellowcard Harry Wilson 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Huddlestone 76'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 79'
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 94'
Championship Gameweek 20
Derby
Dec 1, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Swansea
  • Harry Wilson 30' goal
  • Harry Wilson 40' goal
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 87' (OG)
Championship
Derby
Mar 12, 2011 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Swansea
  • Ashley Williams 7' goal
  • Steve Davies 54' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Rangel 13'
  • yellowcard Ashley Williams 77'

Form Data

Reading 2 - 2 Swansea
Swansea 0 - 1 QPR
Swansea 2 - 2 Wycombe
Sheff Weds 0 - 2 Swansea
Millwall 0 - 3 Swansea
Swansea 0 - 1 Preston
Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham
Preston 3 - 0 Derby
Blackburn 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Norwich
Reading 3 - 1 Derby
Derby 2 - 0 Luton