Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK

Madejski Stadium

Reading
3 - 1
Derby

Olise (45+1'), Puscas (57'), Joao (84')
Moore (50'), Laurent (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lawrence (79')

Reaction

Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in December 2020

Veljko Paunovic hails Reading's "maturity and fierceness" in Derby win

The hosts ended a run of four games without a win.

Apr 5, 17:59

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Michael Olise, George Puscas and Lucas Joao sealed victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Reading and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Derby County
43.76%	28.46%	27.77%

Both teams to score 44.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.36%

61.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.53%

81.47%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32%

63.68%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38%

38.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64%

75.36%

Score Analysis

Reading 43.76%

Derby County 27.77%

Draw 28.45%

Reading	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.76% 2-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 8.33% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.68% Total : 43.76%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.77%

How you voted: Reading vs Derby

Reading

77.6%

Draw

10.2%

Derby County

12.2%