Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Reading3 - 1Derby
The Match
Match Report
Goals from Michael Olise, George Puscas and Lucas Joao sealed victory.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Reading and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Derby County |
| 43.76% | 28.46% | 27.77% |
| Both teams to score 44.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
