Reading vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.