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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Reading |
| 23.06% | 26.27% | 50.67% |
| Both teams to score 46.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% | 57.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.04% | 77.96% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% | 40.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% | 76.91% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% | 22.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% | 56.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 5.6% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.06% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 13.54% 0-2 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-3 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.79% Total : 50.66% |