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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 26.05% | 26.93% | 47.03% |
| Both teams to score 47.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% | 57.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% | 78.14% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% | 37.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.54% | 74.46% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% | 24.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.05% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.02% |