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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 18.44% | 26.87% | 54.7% |
| Both teams to score 39.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.71% | 63.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.33% | 82.67% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.05% | 48.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.08% | 83.92% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% | 23.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% | 57.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-1 @ 4.25% 2-0 @ 2.94% 3-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.44% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 16.65% 0-2 @ 12.05% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-4 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.29% Total : 54.68% |