Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 17, 2021 at 7pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 0
Birmingham

Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')

Reaction

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on January 10, 2021

Aitor Karanka not interested in looking at Championship table

Blues are one point from safety.

Feb 17, 22:20

The Match

Match Report

Blues are one point from safety after a third consecutive loss.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
37.89%	30.05%	32.05%

Both teams to score 41.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.52%

65.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.78%

84.22%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62%

33.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99%

70%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.61%

37.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.83%

74.17%

Score Analysis

Millwall 37.89%

Birmingham City 32.05%

Draw 30.04%

Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 7.51% 2-1 @ 7.39% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.89%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.47% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.04%	0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.76% Total : 32.05%

How you voted: Millwall vs Birmingham

Millwall

70.0%

Draw

21.1%

Birmingham City

8.9%