Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton

San Jose (58'), Harper (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Potts (31')
Potts (50')

Reaction

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on January 10, 2021

Aitor Karanka questions Birmingham's effort in Luton defeat

Dan Potts scored the only goal to condemn Blues to an 11th home game without a win.

Feb 13, 18:47

The Match

Match Report

Daniel Potts was making his 150th league appearance for the Hatters.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Luton Town
32.55%	30.28%	37.16%

Both teams to score 41.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.91%

66.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.35%

84.64%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64%

37.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.85%

74.14%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82%

34.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13%

70.86%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.55%

Luton Town 37.16%

Draw 30.27%

Birmingham City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.77% Total : 32.55%	1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.76% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.27%	0-1 @ 13.7% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City

44.3%

Draw

31.4%

Luton Town

24.3%