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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 31.75% | 27.82% | 40.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% | 70.28% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% | 28.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% | 63.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.42% |