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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Reading |
| 32% | 28.81% | 39.2% |
| Both teams to score 44.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% | 61.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% | 81.36% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% | 35.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% | 72.01% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% | 30.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% | 66.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.11% Total : 32% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 12.76% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.19% |