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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Brentford |
| 21.94% | 25.12% | 52.94% |
| Both teams to score 48.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% | 53.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% | 75.38% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% | 76.28% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% | 20.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% | 52.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-1 @ 5.51% 2-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.38% Total : 21.94% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 12.83% 0-2 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.94% |