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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 45.85% | 28.54% | 25.6% |
| Both teams to score 42.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.06% | 62.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.57% | 82.42% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% | 27.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.93% | 63.07% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.76% | 41.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.23% | 77.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 14.64% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.69% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.23% Total : 25.6% |