Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 16, 2021 at 7pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 2
Brentford

Gregory (47'), Sibley (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Toney (8' pen.), Canos (23')

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Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on March 3, 2021

Thomas Frank credits Wayne Rooney for Derby "masterstroke"

Brentford were 2-0 up at half-time at Derby but were pegged back to draw.

Mar 16, 22:33

The Match

Match Report

Substitutes Lee Gregory and Louie Sibley cancelled out a 2-0 half-time deficit.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Brentford
20.84%	27%	52.17%

Both teams to score 41.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.56%

61.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.68%

81.32%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.91%

45.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19%

81.01%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18%

23.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42%

58%

Score Analysis

Derby County 20.84%

Brentford 52.16%

Draw 26.99%

Derby County	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 0.93% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.84%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 15.4% 0-2 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.68% 1-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.33% Total : 52.16%

How you voted: Derby vs Brentford

Derby County

21.2%

Draw

8.2%

Brentford

70.6%