Coventry

1 - 0

Derby

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.