Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Kazim-Richards (84')
Wisdom (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garner (33')

Reaction

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured on January 23, 2021

Chris Hughton insists Nottingham Forest will not overhype James Garner

James Garner netted an opener from the edge of the box before Colin Kazim-Richards' late equaliser secured a point for Derby.

Feb 26, 23:46

The Match

Match Report

James Garner had put the visitors ahead in the East Midlands derby at Pride Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
37.35%	29.76%	32.88%

Both teams to score 42.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.53%

64.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.49%

83.51%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81%

33.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2%

69.79%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78%

36.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99%

73%

Score Analysis

Derby County 37.35%

Nottingham Forest 32.88%

Draw 29.75%

Derby County	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.02% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.75%	0-1 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.88%

How you voted: Derby vs Nott'm Forest

Derby County

49.3%

Draw

28.5%

Nottingham Forest

22.2%