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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Derby County |
| 34.29% | 28.35% | 37.36% |
| Both teams to score 46.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% | 59.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% | 79.92% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% | 32.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% | 30.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% | 66.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.35% |