Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
Bristol City

Kazim-Richards (4')
Waghorn (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (54')

Reaction

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney pictured on January 23, 2021

Derby boss Wayne Rooney not paying attention to league table

County have won three games in a row.

Jan 30, 18:41

The Match

Match Report

County are now five points clear of the relegation zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
37.96%	27.74%	34.31%

Both teams to score 48.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65%

57.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82%

78.18%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78%

29.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83%

65.17%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5%

31.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11%

67.89%

Score Analysis

Derby County 37.95%

Bristol City 34.3%

Draw 27.74%

Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City

Derby County

38.8%

Draw

18.8%

Bristol City

42.5%