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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
40.35% | 27.23% | 32.42% |
Both teams to score 49.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.24% | 55.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% | 76.89% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% | 27.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% | 62.47% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% | 31.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% | 68.42% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 42 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 79 | 38 | 41 | 88 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 43 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 87 |
4 | Southampton | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 84 | 54 | 30 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 76 | 60 | 16 | 71 |
7 | Hull City | 42 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 62 | 54 | 8 | 65 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 59 |
12 | Bristol City | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 58 |
13 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 53 |
15 | Watford | 43 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 52 |
16 | Millwall | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 50 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 49 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 47 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 47 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 45 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 44 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 12 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 23 |
> Championship Full Table |