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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 43.04% | 28.14% | 28.82% |
| Both teams to score 45.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.85% | 60.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.65% | 80.35% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% | 63.26% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% | 73.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.82% |