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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 31.64% | 28.96% | 39.4% |
| Both teams to score 44.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% | 62.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% | 81.78% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% | 35.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% | 72.59% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% | 30.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% | 66.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.01% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 12.98% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.39% |