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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 34.61% | 27.21% | 38.18% |
| Both teams to score 50.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% | 76.52% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% | 30.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% | 66.45% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% | 63.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.18% |