Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
0 - 2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')

Reaction

Mick McCarthy: 'First Cardiff win is a great feeling'

Curtis Nelson and Kieffer Moore secured victory for the Bluebirds.

Feb 6, 18:33

The Match

Match Report

Curtis Nelson and Kieffer Moore hit the goals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
30.56%	27.64%	41.79%

Both teams to score 47.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.22%

57.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48%

78.51%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.67%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97%

71.03%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75%

27.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32%

62.68%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 30.56%

Cardiff City 41.79%

Draw 27.64%

Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.56%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.79%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City

42.9%

Draw

26.8%

Cardiff City

30.4%