Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Mar 2, 2021 at 7pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
4 - 0
Derby

Bacuna (22', 56'), Moore (48'), Vaulks (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

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Cardiff City manager Mick McCarthy pictured on February 16, 2021

Mick McCarthy will not have his "head in the clouds" amid Cardiff playoff push

The Bluebirds have won seven and drawn three since the former Republic of Ireland manager was appointed in January.

Mar 2, 22:41

The Match

Match Report

Cardiff have taken 24 points from Mick McCarthy's 10 games in charge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Derby County
43.21%	27.55%	29.23%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.05%

57.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.35%

78.65%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42%

26.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2%

61.79%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57%

35.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.81%

72.19%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 43.2%

Derby County 29.23%

Draw 27.55%

Cardiff City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.2%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.23%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Derby

Cardiff City

82.7%

Draw

10.5%

Derby County

6.8%