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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 23.7% | 26.77% | 49.53% |
| Both teams to score 45.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% | 58.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% | 78.96% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% | 40.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% | 77% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% | 23.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.7% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 13.77% 0-2 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9% 0-3 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.53% |