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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 34.91% | 27.49% | 37.6% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% | 56.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% | 77.38% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% | 30.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.15% | 66.84% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% | 28.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% | 64.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.91% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.59% |