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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
| 48.58% | 27.63% | 23.78% |
| Both teams to score 43.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% | 61.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% | 81.11% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% | 25.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% | 60.15% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% | 41.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% | 78.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.58% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.08% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.15% Total : 23.78% |