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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 29.77% | 25.75% | 44.48% |
| Both teams to score 53.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% | 50.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.65% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% | 31.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% | 67.6% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% | 22.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% | 56.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.47% |