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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 56.54% | 26.04% | 17.42% |
| Both teams to score 39.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.11% | 61.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.35% | 81.65% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.78% | 84.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 16.47% 2-0 @ 12.42% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 4.41% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.42% |