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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
4 - 0
Luton

Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Early goals from captain Sean Morrison and young striker Mark Harris put Cardiff on course for just their second win in nine matches.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
43.56%28.68%27.76%
Both teams to score 43.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.65%62.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01%81.99%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98%39.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26%75.74%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.55%
    Luton Town 27.76%
    Draw 28.67%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 8.77%
2-1 @ 8.25%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.76%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
34.8%
Draw
28.8%
Luton Town
36.4%
66