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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.56%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 43.56% | 28.68% | 27.76% |
| Both teams to score 43.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.65% | 62.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.01% | 81.99% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.25% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% | 39.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.26% | 75.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.6% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.5% Total : 27.76% |